Record Russian Spring Snowmelt

Posted on May 7, 2013 by Curtis_Seaman

It seems that last year’s posts were all about fires. Fires in Colorado (multiple fires, in fact), the Canary Islands, Siberia, Australia – there was even that 40-year-old pit of burning natural gas that has been called the “Gates of Hell“. (It’s still burning, by the way.) Maybe this year’s theme will be all about flooding. We just looked at flooding in the U.S. Midwest. And now, we return back to Russia – the western part this time – where massive flooding has occurred this spring.

Moscow had 65 cm of snow on the ground on 1 April 2013. (That’s roughly 26 inches for any American readers.) That’s the most snow they’ve ever had on the ground that late in the spring, and it was all thanks to record snowfall during the month of March. This article from 26 March 2013 says they got 70 cm (28 inches) in a two day period, and forecasters were predicting another 8-10 cm by the end of the month.

What happens when record amounts of snow melt? It causes flooding. In this case, flooding that makes the Illinois River look like a creek you can hop across. The watershed of the Volga River has been hit especially hard. Here’s a picture that our resident Russian, Galina C., tells me is from near the city of Ryazan, so I assume it is the Oka River. (Refer back to the Volga River map I linked to.) There are more pictures here.

To bring this all together with VIIRS, here is what VIIRS saw on 28 March 2012, right after the region got 70 cm of snow:

False color RGB composite of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken 10:38 UTC 28 March 2013

Again, to see the full resolution image, click on it and then click on the “1793×2036 ” link below the banner. This is the false color combination that EUMETSAT refers to as “Natural Color“, where snow and ice appear cyan and liquid clouds appear white. The whole scene is snow, except for a few small clouds north of Moscow and anywhere there are trees sticking out above the snow, which appear green.

Notice that you can’t see any rivers. They’re all frozen over and covered with snow.

Here’s what VIIRS saw (same false color combination) a month later (29 April 2013):

False color composite of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken 10:39 UTC 29 April 2013

All the snow is gone. Plus, look at all the rivers you can see. The problem is that you shouldn’t normally be able to see all of these rivers. The flooding makes them visible.

What I think is more impressive is seeing a time-lapse loop of VIIRS images over this period:

Animation of false color composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03 from 28 March 2013 to 2 May 2013.

Make sure you look at it in full resolution mode. Note that the time period between frames in the animation varies. Some days it was too cloudy to see anything, one or two days had missing data, etc., so this isn’t always one image per day.

The city of Ryazan is identified in the animation (remember the photo linked to earlier). To put it into perspective, check out the Google Maps satellite view of the city. The Oka River is normally ~200 m wide near the city. In the last two frames of the animation, the Oka River is over 10 km wide at its widest point near Ryazan! The same goes for a lot of the rivers visible at the end of the loop – rivers that are normally a few tens or hundreds of meters wide are up to a few kilometers wide.

The city of Tambov at 52°43′N, 41°26′E, which is outside of the domain of the animation, but in the southeastern portion of the larger static images, experienced its worst flooding in 130 years in early April. (That corner of the domain was the first to experience snowmelt.) One of the contributing factors at Tambov, according to that article, was that the ground below the snow was still frozen. The snowmelt occurred before the ground thawed. This meant that the meltwater couldn’t be absorbed into the ground – it simply collected in the low-lying areas or ran off into the rivers, which quickly filled as you can see.

Our resident Russian was also able to grab this plot of the Oka River stage at Novinky, just upstream of where the Oka empties into the Volga. The information comes from this website. This plot covers the time period from 7 April to 7 May 2013.

River stage of the Oka River at Novinky, Russia for April 2013. Data comes from gis.waterinfo.ru, with help from Galina Chirokova (CIRA).

The Oka River looks like it peaked at about 2.5 m above normal. (8 ft. for you Americans.)

All that water is going to end up in the Caspian Sea, whose water level is largely based on inflow from the Volga River’s watershed. Variations of sea level in the Caspian have been +/-3 m over the last century and, with this influx of snowmelt, it is sure to go up.

Land of Lincoln Underwater

Posted on April 23, 2013 by Curtis_Seaman

The week beginning on 14 April 2013 was a big week for weather across the United States. There were 30 reports of tornadoes. (Make sure you click on each link, and look at the filtered reports.) And, when our home base of Fort Collins, Colorado was in the middle of being buried under two feet of snow, large parts of the Midwest received 4-7 inches of rainfall. This is a lot of rain for an area with saturated ground caused by recent snowmelt. Unsurprisingly, it caused a lot of flooding – including a sinkhole in a Chicago neighborhood.

Now, we know VIIRS is good at detecting snow. But, flooding is a bit trickier, particularly river flooding. First, flooding usually occurs when it’s cloudy. (Not always, of course, since you can have flooding from snowmelt or heavy rains that occurred upstream or caused by ice jams when it isn’t cloudy. And, as we saw with Hurricane Isaac, flooding may linger long after the clouds are gone.) Second, flooding can have a huge impact over a small area that your satellite might not have the resolution to detect.

Well, I’m here to report that VIIRS has the resolution to detect the flooding that occurred over Illinois last week. And the flooding lasted until well after the clouds cleared. Take a look at the image below from 21 April 2013, where the flooding is visible:

VIIRS false color composite of channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken 18:13 UTC 21 April 2013

This is a “Natural Color” RGB composite of the high-resolution channels I-01 (0.64 µm, blue), I-02 (0.87 µm, green) and I-03 (1.61 µm, red). If you click on the image, then on the “3124×2152” link below the banner, you will see the full resolution image. If you’re wondering where the flooding is, notice the rivers I have labelled in the image. Now try to spot those rivers in this image from two weeks earlier (5 April 2013):

VIIRS false color composite of channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken 18:13 UTC 5 April 2013.

Those rivers are a lot more difficult to see. The Illinois, Sangamon, and Mississippi rivers are the only rivers easily visible in the before image. A lot more show up after the heavy rains because they grew beyond their banks and became big enough for VIIRS to see. You might also notice that the vegetation has become much greener over this two week period. To make it easier to compare, here are those images cropped and centered on the swollen rivers, side-by-side:

False-color RGB composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken on 5 April 2013 and 21 April 2013

False-color RGB composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03, taken on 5 April 2013 (left) and 21 April 2013 (right)

There are a couple of important things to note about these images that are related to how VIIRS and its satellite (Suomi-NPP) work. One is that Suomi-NPP has an orbit with a 16-day repeat cycle. Every 16 days it should (if it’s in its proper orbit) pass over the same spot on the Earth at the same time of day. The images above were taken 16 days apart, and as you can see in the captions, were taken at the same time of day. The only difference in the area included in the images is the result of the start time of the data granules being 13 seconds off. This means that VIIRS is viewing all the same spots at the same viewing angles.

This leads to point #2: the VIIRS instrument has a constant angular resolution (recall that it uses a constantly rotating mirror to detect radiation across the swath) which, when projected onto the surface of the Earth, means that it does not have a constant spatial resolution. (See slide 12 of this presentation.) The spatial resolution of the high resolution channels shown here is ~375 m at nadir, and it degrades to ~750 m resolution at the edge of the swath. In the images above, the center of the VIIRS swath (nadir) is near the right edge of the data plotted. The left edge of the data plotted is about 80% of the distance from nadir to the edge of the swath. The loss in resolution over this distance may be enough to prevent VIIRS from detecting all the flooding that is occurring. But, the important thing is that we are viewing all these rivers at the same angles and the same resolution. This gives the best comparison between the before and after images.

A few more things to notice in the above images: there is snow in the northern part of Michigan’s Lower Peninsula, with ice on Green Bay and Lake Winnebago (all of which are easier to see in the image from 5 April 2013). Does anyone living there still remember last year’s record heat wave? Many places in this region had already had a number of +80 and +90 °F days, but it seems like a distant memory now. This year, winter doesn’t want to end.

One last thing for today: If you focus on Michigan again you might notice another area of flooding. This one is large enough it wouldn’t be impacted by any resolution degradation (even though it is near the center of the swath where you wouldn’t be worried about that anyway). I’ve zoomed in on the area here:

False-color composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03 from 5 April 2013 and 21 April 2013

False-color composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03 from 5 April 2013 (left) and 21 April 2013 (right)

This is along the Shiawassee River near the Shiawassee National Wildlife Refuge, a few miles southwest of Saginaw. This area of flooding is confirmed by these aerial photographs taken on 22 April 2013.

Hurricane Isaac: Before, During and After

Posted on September 4, 2012 by Curtis_Seaman

While Hurricane Isaac (then a tropical storm) did not destroy Tampa, Florida as many people feared, it certainly left its mark on the Gulf Coast. With many locations from Florida to Louisiana receiving more than 12″ of rain, and levees unable to keep out the storm surge, flooding was (and still is) a major problem. Look at these aerial photos of Isaac’s aftermath in Louisiana. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) aboard Suomi NPP saw that flooding, also.

But first, let’s look at the high resolution infrared (IR) window channel (I-05, 11.45 µm) which, at ~375 m resolution, is the highest-resolution IR window channel on a public weather satellite in space today. This image was taken when Isaac was still a tropical storm in the middle of the Gulf of Mexico:

VIIRS I-05 image of Tropical Storm Isaac, taken 18:50 UTC 27 August 2012

This image uses a new (to this blog, anyway) color scale, developed by our colleagues at CIMSS, that really highlights the structure of the clouds at the top of Isaac. The color scale is included in the image. For comparison, here’s the GOES Imager IR window channel (channel 4, 10.7 µm) image from roughly the same time:

GOES-13 Imager channel 4 image of Tropical Storm Isaac, taken 18:45 UTC 27 August 2012

GOES has ~4 km resolution in its IR channels. VIIRS provides amazing details of the structure of tropical cyclones that you just can’t get with current geostationary satellites.

The real story from Isaac, however, is the flooding. It’s hard to capture flooding from a visible and infrared imaging instrument, since flooding usually occurs when it’s cloudy. Clouds block the view of the surface when looking at visible and infrared wavelengths. But, large quantities of water that fail to evaporate or drain into the local rivers after a period of several days can be seen after the skies clear. That’s what happened with Isaac.

Here are before-Isaac and after-Isaac images of the southern tip of the Florida Peninsula. These are false color (“pseudo-true color”) composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03. These images were taken on the afternoon overpasses of 23 August and 29 August 2012. Many cities on the east coast of Florida got 10-16 inches of rain (250-400 mm for those of you outside the U.S.). See if you can pick out the flooding.

False color RGB composite of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03 taken before and after Tropical Storm Isaac (2012)

If you have been following this blog, you know that, in the “pseudo-true color” RGB composite, water shows up very dark – in most cases, almost black. That’s not always true, of course. You can see sun glint (particularly in the “before” image) that makes water a lighter color and shallow water (where visible radiation [i.e. channel I-01] is able to penetrate to the bottom) shows up as a vivid blue.

Now, notice the Everglades. Many areas of the Everglades, particularly on the east side, appear darker in the “after” image, because those swampy areas have a lot more water in them. Water has a lower reflectivity than vegetation or bare ground at these wavelengths.

The effect of water on the land surface shows up even better in the moderate resolution channel M-06 (0.75 µm). M-06 is a channel not shown before because it is perhaps the worst channel for producing interesting images. M-06 was designed to aid in ocean color retrievals and/or other uses that require atmospheric correction. The M-06 detectors saturate at a low radiance, so any radiation at 0.75 µm that reflects off of clouds, aerosols or the land surface easily show up. About the only things that have low reflectivity in M-06 are atmospheric gases and water surfaces without sun glint. Ocean color retrievals need a very clean atmosphere with no aerosols or clouds and no sun glint to work correctly. You also need to be able to identify what is or is not water, which is what makes M-06 useful for identifying flooding.

Here are the similar before-Isaac and after-Isaac images of Florida from M-06:

VIIRS channel M-06 images of southern Florida taken before and after Tropical Storm Isaac (2012)

Both the land and optically thick clouds saturate M-06, so this channel is useless at identifying clouds over land (except you can see some cloud shadows). Sun glint is saturating the pixels over the Gulf of Mexico in the “before” image, while it is mostly to the east of Florida in the Atlantic Ocean in the “after” image. In the “after image”, reflective cirrus clouds over the Gulf of Mexico show up that are not as easily visible in the RGB composite. Of primary importance here, however, is the dark appearance of the Everglades in the “after” image. All that flood water reduced the reflectivity of the land surface, making it appear darker. That means, if you know where the clouds (and, hence, the cloud shadows) are, it may be possible to use M-06 to identify large flooded areas.

Louisiana and the coast of Mississippi were the hardest hit by Isaac, and the flooding is easily visible here, too. In fact, the massive flooding is easier to see in the RGB composite in this region. Compare the “before” and “after” images, taken on 26 August 2012 and 1 September 2012:

False color RGB composites of VIIRS channels I-01, I-02 and I-03 of southeast Louisiana

To make it easier to see, here’s a quick animation of the before and after images. Watch the highlighted areas.

Animated GIF of false color RGB composites taken from VIIRS before and after Hurricane Isaac

After the passage of Hurricane Isaac, Lake Maurepas and Lake Pontchartrain almost appear to merge into one big lake! Other flooding is visible near Slidell, Bay St. Louis, Pascagoula Bay, and the heavily hit parishes of Plaquemines, St. Bernard, Lafourche and Terrebonne.

Thin cirrus clouds are visible in the “after” image, which limit the ability of M-06 to detect some of the flooding, but M-06 is still able to see the large areas of flooding highlighted in the animation above. M-06 also detects reflection off of the Twin Spans as well as the Lake Pontchartrain Causeway. And this is at ~750 m resolution!

VIIRS channel M-06 images of southeastern Louisiana taken before and after Hurricane Isaac (2012)

So, don’t try to do ocean color retrievals in pixels obscured by big bridges.

JPSS (SNPP and NOAA-20)

VIIRS Imagery and Visualization Team Blog

Tag Archives: flood

Record Russian Spring Snowmelt

Land of Lincoln Underwater

Hurricane Isaac: Before, During and After