TC Intensity Model Guidance used by NHC
Jaime Rhome and Chris Landsea (NCEP / NHC), Mark DeMaria (NOAA/NESDIS/StAR), and Andrea Schumacher (CIRA/CSU)
- Describe the spectrum of NHC tropical cyclone intensity models
- Describe the general strengths and weaknesses of each intensity model
- Understand how intensity models are used in consensus forecasts
- Have an overview of future intensity forecast model improvements
- Limitations of tropical cyclone structure forecasting
This is a basic course. There are no prerequisites.
Training Session Options
LMS students - to begin the training, use the web-based video or audio playback options below (if present for this session).
- Web-based video that can be taken at anytime (streamed, not recommended for low-bandwidth users). Be sure to have your speakers on and the volume loud enough to hear the presentation. For students who initiated this course in the NWS Learning Center (LMS), certificates of completion can be obtained from the learning center's "My Transcript" page upon completion of the associated quiz.
- Live VISIT teletraining (with an instructor leading the session). Check the VISIT Training Calendar to signup for teletraining. The session will last 60 minutes. This teletraining session uses the VISITview software, where a Windows PC with an Internet connection is needed.
Please follow the teletraining installation instructions to install the session
- Overview of NHC Models
- Operational Model Matrix (Comet Password Required)
- Global Forecast System Home Page
- HPC’s Subjective Model Biases Page
- HWRF’s Main Page
- GFDL Model Description (AMS Publication)
- UKMET Model Technical Specifications
- User’s Guide to the ECMWF
- NOGAPS Technical Specifications
- Developed: 2009
- Updated: June 2013
- Dan Bikos (970) 491-3777