Publications and Presentations
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To Accepted and Submitted Publications        To Awards         To Presentations

Published: 

Knaff, J.A., 2009: Revisiting the Maximum Intensity of Recurving Tropical Cyclones.  Published on-line http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/4735/homeInt. J. Climatology, 29, 827-837.

Knaff, J.A., and C.R. Sampson, 2009: Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Methods Used at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Part I:  Control Forecasts Based on Climatology and Persistence. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 58, 1, 1-7.

Knaff, J.A., and C.R. Sampson, 2009: Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Methods Used at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Part II:   Statistical – Dynamical Forecasts.  Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 58, 1, 9-18.

Sampson, C.R. and J.A. Knaff, 2009: Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecast Methods Used at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, Part III:   Statistical – Consensus Forecasts.  Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, 58, 1, 19-27.

Schumacher, R.S., D.T. Lindsey, A. B. Schumacher, J. Braun, S. D. Miller, and J. Demuth, 2009: The 22 May 2008 Weld County, Colorado tornado: Analysis of meteorological conditions and the communication of weather information.  23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting /19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction.  1-9 June 2009, Omaha, NE.

Accepted:

*Azorin-Molina, C., B.H. Connell, R. Baena-Calatrava, 2009:  Sea Breeze Convergence Zones from AVHRR over the Iberian Mediterranean area and the isle of Mallorca (Spain). Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.

DeMaria, M., J.A. Knaff, R. Knabb, C. Lauer, C.R. Sampson, R.T. DeMaria, 2009:  A New Method for Estimating Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probabilities. Weather and Forecasting.

Doesken, N.J., J.F. Weaver, and M. Osecky, 2007:  Microscale aspects of rainfall patterns as measured by a local volunteer network. National Weather Digest.

Grasso, L.D., M. Sengupta, and M. DeMaria, 2009:  Comparison between Observed and Synthetic 6.5 and 10.7 µm GOES-12 Imagery of Thunderstorms. International Journal of Remote Sensing.  In press.

Hillger, D.W., J.F. Schmit, 2009: The GOES-13 Science Test. A Synopsis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 6-11.

Mazur, R.J., J.F.Weaver, T.H. Vonder Haar, 2009:  A preliminary statistical study of correlations between inflow feeder clouds, supercell or multicell thunderstorms, and severe weather.  Weather and Forecasting.

Setvak, M., D.T. Lindsey, R.M. Rabin, P.K. Wang, and A. Demeterova, 2009:  Possible moisture plume above a deep convective storm on 28 June 2005 in MSG-1 imagery. Weather Review .

*The manuscript “Sea Breeze Convergence Zones from AVHRR over the Iberian Mediterranean area and the isle of Mallorca (Spain)” by Cesar Azorin-Molina, Bernadette Connell, and Rafael Baena-Calatrava has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology.  Dr. Azorin-Molina visited CIRA during the summer of 2006 to collaborate with scientists on the use of NOAA-16 and 17 imagery in creating a stratified cloud climatology for regions in Spain.  (B. Connell)

DeMaria, M., 2009:  Improving Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts Using Lightning Observations.  Southern Thunder Workshop, 28-30 July, Cocoa Beach, FL.    

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Submitted:

Courtney, J., and J.A. Knaff, 2009:  Adapting the Knaff and Zehr Pressure-Wind Relationship for operational use in Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres.  Australian Meteorological Magazine.

Grasso, L.D., D.W. Hillger, M. Sengupta, 2009:  Demonstrating the Utility of the GOES-R 2.25 µm band for Fire Retrieval. Geophysical Research Letters.

Grasso, L.D., and D.T. Lindsey, 2009: An Example of the use of Synthetic 3.9 µm GOES-12 Imagery for Two-Moment Microphysical Evaluation. International Journal of Remote Sensing.

Zupanski, D., 2009: Information measures in ensemble data assimilation. Chapter in the book entitled “Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Hydrologic Applications,” S. K. Park, Editor.

Zupanski, M., 2009: Theoretical and practical issues of ensemble data assimilation in weather and climate. Chapter in the book entitled “Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic, and Hydrologic Applications,” S. K. Park, Editor.

Zupanski, M., D. Zupanski, S. J. Fletcher, M. DeMaria, and R. Dumais, 2009: A method for error covariance localization in ensemble data assimilation. Tellus A, (Submitted, revised)

Zupanski, D., M. Zupanski, L. Grasso, R. Brummer, I. Jankov, D. Lindsey, M. Sengupta and M. DeMaria, 2009: Assimilating synthetic GOES-R radiances in cloudy conditions using an ensemble-based method.  International Journal of Remote Sensing.  (Submitted revised).

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Nonrefereed                      

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Awards:

M. DeMaria received a NOPP Excellence in Partnership Award for his role in the Multi-sensor Improved Sea Surface Temperature (MISST) for GODAE. This was part of a group award for a project lead by Chelle Gentemann from Remote Sensing Systems. M. DeMaria’s contribution was testing of a new ocean cooling parameterization and evaluation of the high resolution SST analyses in the SHIPS tropical cyclone intensity model.

Colorado State University Master’s student Darren Van Cleave tied for first place for the best MS/BS poster presentation at the AMS 23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction.  Darren’s work “Relating snowfall patterns over the central and eastern US to infrared imagery of extratropical cyclone comma heads” is part of the winter weather component of CIRA/RAMMB’s GIMPAP contribution. 

Presentations:

DeMaria, M., B. McNoldy, 2009: Statistical Evaluation of the Response of Intensity to Large-Scale Forcing in the 2008 HWRF Model. HFIP Diagnostics Workshop, 5 May, Miami. FL

DeMaria, M., A. Schumacher, D. Brown, E. Rappaport, 2009: Evaluating the Impact of Improved Track and Intensity Forecasts on Hurricane Watches and Warnings.High Resolution Hurricane Workshop, 7 May, Miami, FL.

Knaff, J.A. 2009:  Understanding and (possibly) rectifying historical and regional wind-pressure relationship differences.  International Best Track And Climate Stewardship Workshop (IBTrACS) Workshop, 5-7 May, Ashville, NC.

Knaff, J.A., D. Brown, J. Courtney, M. Gallina, 2009:  An Evaluation of Biases and Errors Associated with the Subjective Dvorak Technique 1989-2007. International Best Track and Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) Workshop, 5-7 May, Ashville, NC.

Grasso, L.D., 2009: An example of the use of synthetic 3.9 µm GOES-12 imagery for two-moment microphysical evaluation.. 23rd conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting and 19th conference on Numerical Weather Prediction, 1-9 June, Omaha, NE.

On April 1, 2009, L. Grasso gave a presentation to 3rd graders at Bauder Elemetary School in Fort Collins.

D. Hillger was invited by Maury Pautz, former Meteorologist in Charge at the Denver NWS Office, to give a presentation at the Rocky Mountain Stamp show on 15 May.  The presentation included information on the history of weather satellites as well as other environmental and scientific satellites.  Imagery ranging from the first crude TIROS image to 30-second interval loops of GOES-13 rapid-scan imagery was shown. 

Schumacher, R.S., D.T. Lindsey, A.B. Schumacher, J. Braun, S.D. Miller, and J. Demuth, 2009: The 22 May 2008 Weld County, Colorado tornado: Analysis of meteorological conditions and the communication of weather information.  23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting /19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction.  1-9 June 2009, Omaha, NE.

Brennan, M.J., D.P. Brown, R. D. Knabb, M. DeMaria, A.B. Schumacher, and J.A. Knaff, 2009: Tropical cyclone wind speed probabilities: Operational results and future applications.  23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction.  1-9 June 2009, Omaha, NE.

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