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RAMMB: Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch CIRA: Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere

Nov 15 2012: TEST PAGE - FOR EVALUATION PURPOSES ONLY! This is the website for the new experimental TC formation product, which is in its development phase and should NOT be used for operations or research. Please use the operational product supported by NESDIS at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/index.html.

FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY - Official Tropical Cyclone forecasts are provided by the National Hurricane Center (www.nhc.noaa.gov)


Atlantic Basin (EXPERIMENTAL VERSION)

Cumulative 0-48h TC Formation Probability

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
0-48h TCFP (%)

0-24h TC Formation Probability

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
0-24h TCFP (%)

0-24h Input Parameters

Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
850 hPa Relative Vorticity (x10-6 s-1)
Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt)
Vertical Instability (°C)
Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C)
850 hPa Horizontal Divergence (x10-6 s-1)
Mean Sea Level Pressure (hPa)
Reynolds SST (°C)
850 hPa Horizontal Temp Advection (x10-6 °Cs-1)

Subbasin Areas

Time Series Products on Subbasins

  0-48 hr TC Formation Probability 850 hPa Relative Vorticity Percent WV Pixels < -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear Vertical Instability Cloud-cleared WV Brightness Temperature 850 hPa Horizontal Divergence Mean Sea Level Pressure Reynolds SST 850 hPa Horizontal Temp Advection
Gulf of Mexico
Caribbean
East Coast
Tropical Atlantic
Sub-tropical Atlantic
Southern Atlantic