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RAMMB: Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Branch CIRA: Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere

Atlantic Basin

Current Products Last Updated 2008 MAR 07 00 UTC

96hr Loop of Real-time Formation Probability Real-Time Climatological Anomaly
Probability of TC Formation within 24Hrs
850 hPa Circulation (kt) Genesis threshold > -2.91kt
Percent Pixels Colder than -40°C Genesis threshold > 1.8%
850-200 hPa Vertical Shear (kt) Genesis threshold < 48.7kt
Vertical Instability (°C) Genesis threshold > -2.57°C
Cloud-cleared Water Vapor Brightness Temperature (°C) Genesis threshold < -25.4°C
Horizontal Divergence (x10-5 s-1) Genesis threshold < 0.941

Subbasin Areas

Time Series Products on Subbasins

  Formation Probability 850 hPa Circulation Percent GOES Pixels < -40°C 850-200 hPa Vertical Shear Vertical Instability Cloud-cleared GOES Brightness Temperature Horizontal Divergence (10-5 s-1)
Gulf of Mexico
Caribbean
East Coast
Tropical Atlantic
Sub-tropical Atlantic